Institute for Energy Research, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia:

L. S. Plakitkina, Head of Research Center for Coal Industry in the World and in Russia, Candidate of Engineering Sciences, luplak@rambler.ru
Yu. A. Plakitkin, Deputy Director on Scientifi c Work, Professor, Doctor of Economic Sciences
K. I. Dyachenko, Senior Researcher, Research Center for Coal Industry in the World and in Russia, Candidate of Engineering Sciences

The article points at priorities of coal production in the subjects of the Far East Federal District (FEFD) up to 2035. It is found that the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia), Chukotka Autonomous District, as well as the Sakhalin, Amur, Kamchatka Regions and the Khabarovsk Territory have great potential of increasing coal production. On the other hand, development in the coal mining industry in these subjects will in a greater or lesser degree depend on gasifi cation of the Russian Far East and on the business trends in the international and national markets of energy resources. In case of the favorable environment and prices on energy resources, development of new deposits and intensifi cation of production at operating mines, it is possible that coal production output will grow by 1.6 times in FEFD by 2035 as against 2015. Otherwise, it is likely that coal production drops by 5% as compared with 2015. As per the balance sheets of coal for the period up to 2035, developed at the Institute for Energy Research of the RAS and making the basis of the new draft Energy strategy of Russia, it is expected that coal production in FEFD grows to 40 Mt by 2035 in accordance with the “conservative” scenario and to 70 Mt in accordance with the “target” scenario. The average price of the Far East power-generating coal reserves, calculated in USA dollars as of 2013 using the simulation models of the Institute for Energy Research of the RAS, can grow from US$ 34,1 to US$ 45,3–48,8 per ton of coal.

1. Plakitkina L. S. The state-of-the art and future trends of coal production in the period up to 2030 in the main basins and coalfields of the Far Eastern Federal District. Gornaya promyshlennost. 2014. No. 1(113). pp. 12–20.
2. Archipov G. I. Mining industry in the economics of Far Eastern Region. Eurasian Mining. 2014. No. 1. pp. 11–15.
3. Available at: http://government.ru/docs/13333/ (accessed: 21.07.16)
4. Yue Wang. China's Shenhua To Develop Russian Coal Mine. Forbes Asia. September 4, 2014.
5. Shteyntsayg M. R. The concept and methodology of powerful coal mining and energy production clusters formation (by example of Svobodnensky brown coalfield in Amur Region). Ugol. 2016. No. 1. pp. 30–35.
6. Plakitkina L. S. Analysis and prospects of the development of coal production for the period up to 2035 in the Sakha (Yakutia) Republic. Gornaya promyshlennost. 2015. No. 5(123). pp. 2–6.
7. Klepinina N. The First Million Tons of the Clean Coal Was Produced at the Elga Coal Mining Complex. Ugol. 2015. No. 5. p. 82.
8. Mechel to Supply China’s Baosteel Resources with Nearly One Million Tonnes of Coking Coal Mechel Official Website. Available at: http://www.mechel.com/press/press?rid=750&oo=2&fnid=68&newWin=0&apage=1&nm=121878&fxsl=view_soc.xsl (accessed: 21.07.16)
9. Plakitkina L. S. Simulation models for coal industry forecasting. Izvestiya RAN. Seriya «Energetika». 2010. No. 4. pp. 162–175.
10. Coal Information 2015. International Energy Agency Statistics. 2015. 674 p. DOI: 10.1787/coal-2015-en
11. Energy prices & taxes. International Energy Agency Statistics. 2015. Iss. 1–4.
12. Key World Energy Statistics 2015. International Energy Agency Statistics. 2015. 81 p. DOI: 10.1787/key_energ_stat-2015-en
13. BP Statistical Review of World Energy. June 2015. 64^th Edition. Available at : https://www.bp.com/content/dam/bp/pdf/energy-economics/statistical-review-2015/bp-statistical-review-of-worldenergy-2015-full-report.pdf (accessed: 21.07.16).