Научный центр геомеханики и проблем горного производства, Санкт-Петербургский горный университет, Санкт-Петербург, Россия:

Гриценко К. И., ведущий инженер, gritsenko_ki@pers.spmi.ru
Лесничий Л. И., ведущий инженер

Отмечено, что прогнозирование сезонных изменений водопритоков к горным выработкам является важной задачей для безопасного и эффективного ведения горных работ. В современной практике для этих целей применяют либо эмпирические формулы, либо математические модели, основанные на законе Дарси и уравнении неразрывности. У этих методов есть ряд ограничений, вследствие которых в настоящее время прогнозы сезонных изменений водопритоков достаточно трудоемки и не получили широкого распространения. Авторами предпринята попытка разработать простую и надежную методику прогнозирования сезонных изменений водопритоков. Рассмотрена возможность применения для этого динамических моделей склонового стока на примере трех рудников с различными отношениями меженного и паводкового водопритоков.

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